Historical PE of big techs, a reason why you shouldn't panic if you are holding them

Jackalope * January 1, 2022 at 2:26 pm. I read the book A Field Guide to Climate Anxiety by Sarah Jacquette Ray and found it to be super helpful. The author talks about ways to deal with anxiety around climate change, ways to envision a life where we will survive and still have happy lives even with climate change, and talks about small local projects that are making a collective difference ... This encouraged examples like; people walking up to you in the supermarket explaining why you should take your mask off. It lead to some number of deaths, probably 10s of thousands in the UK as this policy lasted for six months and it undoubtedly was part of the reason care-homes were hit as hard in the first wave. There are a lot of comments here about why public transit in the DC area doesn't work, but nobody that I've seen has put their finger on it. The biggest issue is that the area covers two states, at least ten counties depending on what you count as the “DC area”, plus the District of Columbia, which isn't a state, doesn't have control over its own budget, and has no representation in Congress.

2022.01.24 16:19 futureIsYes Historical PE of big techs, a reason why you shouldn't panic if you are holding them

TLDR: high tech stocks are trading at historical cheapest or closest to cheapest values, some even way below the pre-pandemic levels. If a big portion of your portfolio is on the indexes or these stocks, just chill, things will settle out sooner or later.

Have a look at the PE ratio history of AMZN, GOOG, FB, MSFT and AAPL
Amazon
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/amzn/amazon/pe-ratio
Actually, you have to zoom in (use the slider at the bottom of the chart) to start at 2015/16, otherwise, PE values from 2016 will look like zero. Even from 2015, it has gone down from 600 to around 55. Not cheap compared to the others, but extremely cheap compared to pre-pandamic levels (it was around 93 in march 2020).
Alphabet
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GOOGL/alphabet/pe-ratio
was cheaper than now between 2010 and 2013, then it shoot up, almost to 60 in 2017, went down again, and has been fluctuating between around 23 and 31 since then (now at around 25, and forward PE, according to finviz is at 23). Thus, as cheap as it has been since 2013.
Meta
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/FB/meta-platforms/pe-ratio
You have to zoom on this one as well, from about 2015, where the PE was around 90. Cheapest it has been in 2018, around 17. Now a bit cheaper than it was on March 2020 (23 vs 21)
MSFT
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/msft/microsoft/pe-ratio
Microsoft is trading more expensive than pre-pandemic levels. It was around 26 on March 2020, now trading at 33, and forward PE is 28 (according to finviz)
AAPL
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/AAPL/apple/pe-ratio
Apple, like MSFT, is also trading more expensive than pre-pandemic levels. It was around 19.6 on March 2020, now trading at 29 (forward PE is 26, according to finviz). Also it is AAPLE that is trading historically much higher than the rest (e.g. it was less than 9 in 2013!)
I managed to get these values for MSFT and AAPL on march 2020 at the height of the dot com bubble (from SA, google for "15 years after the bubble MSFT"
MSFT:66
AAPL:35
amazon didn't have a PE in 2000
was not able to find google in 2000 (probably no PE as well, as it was founded in 1998), and FB was founded in 2004, I think.
Looking at all these, I feel a bit calm about my holdings of these. I was actually surprised that it was MSFT and AAPL that were trading more expensive than pre-pandemic levels. I hold AAPL, GOOG, MSFT and AMZN. I sold 20% of my AAPL position at 179, hope I have sold more, but I will not buy more at the moment. I will try to nibble on GOOG, AMZN and MSFT on each considerable dip and might start a position in FB.
What do you think
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